XRP Faces Looming $2 Test as Whale Outflows Intensify

by Main Desk
CE-NOV2

By the CoinEpigraph Editorial Desk | November 2025

A Whale-Sized Warning

Ripple’s native token, XRP, is again testing market nerves.
Over the past several days, blockchain tracking platforms have flagged more than $250 million in large XRP transfers, raising fresh concerns that major holders—known as whales—may be preparing to off-load holdings as momentum weakens.

According to data compiled by Whale Alert and Santiment, several multi-million-token transactions—some exceeding 74 million XRP at a time—moved between unidentified wallets and centralized exchanges. Analysts view this pattern as an early indicator of potential selling pressure, especially when paired with softening technical signals on the chart.

The Technical Setup

XRP’s chart is flashing warnings few traders can ignore. After failing to hold support near $2.60, the asset has drifted lower in a tightening range. Technical analysts now identify $2.00 – $2.10 as the next major support zone; a clean break below it could expose XRP to a retracement toward $1.90 or even deeper levels last seen before the 2024 rally.

Volume trends suggest a divergence between rising on-chain transfer activity and declining spot demand—often a bearish precursor in prior cycles.
While some indicators, like RSI, show the token nearing oversold territory, momentum remains negative across key timeframes.

“If whales are transferring this magnitude of XRP to exchanges, it usually precedes heightened volatility,” notes one crypto-strategy desk in Singapore. “The price reaction depends on whether those tokens are being sold or strategically repositioned.”

The Whale Divide

The XRP ecosystem is no stranger to whale drama. Data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment shows two parallel movements:

  • Distribution: Certain whale cohorts (wallets > 100 million XRP) have trimmed positions since late September.
  • Accumulation: Others appear to be absorbing the dip, quietly adding in the $2.20 – $2.40 range.

This divergence reveals a split among large holders—some protecting profits after months of gains, others betting that institutional utility for XRP will drive longer-term recovery.

Still, total whale holdings across the top-100 addresses have declined modestly since early October, suggesting that the net flow leans toward cautious reduction.

Macro & Regulatory Undercurrents

Beyond price action, macro currents continue to shape sentiment.
U.S. regulatory uncertainty persists despite Ripple’s partial courtroom victories, leaving questions about long-term classification and exchange listing stability. Simultaneously, global liquidity tightening and risk-off postures among funds have reduced appetite for altcoins, even those with enterprise narratives.

Technically and psychologically, the $2 level represents more than a line on a chart—it’s a threshold for investor confidence in XRP’s resilience as a cross-border settlement asset amid the broader digital-asset slowdown.

What Comes Next

Market observers outline two immediate scenarios:

  1. Support Holds: XRP consolidates above $2.00, forming a base for a potential rebound toward $2.50 – $2.70 as whale supply stabilizes.
  2. Breakdown: Failure to defend $2 could accelerate liquidation toward $1.80 or below, triggering broader negative sentiment across mid-cap altcoins.

Whale activity remains the key signal to watch. If outflows persist at the current pace, short-term volatility could spike sharply. Conversely, a pause or reversal in on-chain transfers may indicate that large holders are rotating, not exiting.

The Takeaway

For all its resilience since the SEC saga, XRP’s immediate trajectory depends on confidence over capital. The recent $250 million in whale movement underscores that liquidity in crypto remains highly concentrated—and that big wallets, not retail traders, still write the short-term script.

As XRP hovers near $2, traders face the familiar paradox of digital markets: the same transparency that reveals on-chain whale behaviour can also magnify fear.

In this climate, every transfer tells a story—and for now, the whales are whispering caution.


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